Politics
Dr Hasina Raveloson: 'Refoundation, a regime held hostage by its own hesitations'
Dr Hasina Raveloson, historian and specialist in the history of the precolonial Highlands, offers a scathing assessment of the political stalemate. Between grand announcements and retreats, the National Consultation promised by the regime is bogging down. Historian Hasina Raveloson laments chronic political inertia. Will the long-awaited 'National Consultation' finally take place? Announced with great fanfare for July 2026, this major meeting seems, once again, to be sinking into the quicksand of state indecision. For Dr Hasina Raveloson, historian and specialist in precolonial Highlands history, the verdict is clear: the Refoundation regime is characterized by chronic procrastination. 'The Refoundation resembles a regime held hostage by its own hesitations,' Hasina Raveloson argues. A standstill that is beginning to seriously frustrate public opinion. 'We still see no trace of this National Consultation. This comes after purely symbolic launches initiated at least twice: in December 2025 and then in June 2026,' laments the academic. For observers of the political scene, this stalling is hardly accidental. It is a characteristic trait of the regime, accustomed to the pattern of 'stepping back to leap forward.' Spectacular backpedaling. For the historian, the origins of this permanent hesitation are not mere accident but trace back to the very first stumbling steps of power. Sunday, October 12, 2025 remains a highly symbolic date of an original wavering, almost elevated to a genuine method of governance. That day, at Ambohitsirohitra, the regime solemnly enacted the definitive dissolution of the Fourth Republic, before executing a spectacular and bewildering backpedal just hours later, amid general confusion. This chronic lack of clear direction has subsequently manifested in other major state matters, such as the Consultative Council for Refoundation (CCR). Its creation had been announced with great official fanfare, and the appointment of its general coordinator, José Vianey, received unprecedented media coverage. Since that initial splash, total radio silence has settled at the top of state, relegating this ambitious institutional reform to the status of a stillborn project with no viable follow-up. This silent abandonment symbolizes the trajectory of a power that now seems to advance without compass or direction, imprisoned by its contradictions. National sovereignty. Why such a blockade? For Dr Hasina Raveloson, the regime simply fears the conclusions of this dialogue. 'A sovereign national consultation would inevitably lead to the dissolution of the Fourth Republic. Yet this is precisely the rupture that leaders fear, haunted by the specter of their own October 12, 2025 retreat,' he analyzes. Beyond political calculations, the crucial question of sovereignty is at stake. The historian does not hesitate to draw a sharp historical parallel, recalling accusations of 'betrayal of the nation' that targeted President Andry Rajoelina due to his dual nationality, perceived at the time as a direct affront to national sovereignty. Today, the same fundamental problem resurfaces. The National Consultation must be a sovereign debate among Malagasy people. How then can we tolerate foreign interference in this internal process? 'National sovereignty is once again being violated by this intrusion of foreign elements into our affairs,' the analyst protests. Faced with this loss of bearings and this permanent quest for makeshift compromises, one question remains: 'But where is this Refoundation heading?' A crucial question that still awaits clear answers.
Source: Midi Madagasikara