The respite could be short-lived. After recent harvests, the food situation is expected to deteriorate again in several regions of Madagascar starting in October. In the Grand South, stock depletion, weak incomes, and climate uncertainties raise fears of another difficult period until early 2027. Madagascar's food situation has slightly improved following recent harvests, but this improvement may not last. According to an analysis by the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC), an international system used to measure the severity of food crises, approximately 2.12 million people are expected to find themselves, between June and September 2026, in a situation requiring urgent food assistance or at risk of needing it. This analysis shows the figure has declined from 2.57 million people affected between March and May. However, behind this national improvement lie significant regional disparities. Under Pressure The alert signal is particularly concerning in the Grand South. Some 183,000 people there are classified in a situation of "food emergency," meaning they face difficulties such as significant reductions in meal quantity or quality, and resort to survival strategies. This compares to approximately 25,000 during the previous period. FEWS NET, a network specializing in analyzing and anticipating food crises, estimates that an "early lean season could now develop between July 2026 and January 2027." Poor households' food reserves risk being depleted before the next harvests. To be monitored. The situation could further deteriorate between October 2026 and January 2027, the period corresponding to the heart of the next lean season. The IPC estimates that approximately 3.72 million people could then face acute food insecurity requiring assistance, including nearly 426,000 in emergency situations. Several factors could intensify pressure